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The Rebuilding of America
Most state and local governments across the US conduct their own research to estimate trends in population growth, job creation, demographics, markets, and industries in their geographies for future years. These projections serve as the basis that they use to develop localized growth plans and public policy related to future raw land development requirements for their area. However, until recently, there has not been a "national" study conducted to evaluate the future construction and raw land development needs for the entire United States.
In December 2004, the highly acclaimed Brookings Institution's Center on Urban and Metropolitan Policy supported a project titled "Toward a New Metropolis: The Opportunity to Rebuild America" by Virginia Tech University's Urban Planning professor Robert Lang. This is the first study of its kind, whether by government, public or private sources. I will be referencing information from this study and others on this page. Click on the picture below to view this study:
The purpose of this study was to gain an understanding of how projected changes in our nation's population, plus demographic, household and market trends will impact our construction and raw land development requirements for the future. That is: how many new homes, schools, parks, libraries, shopping centers, hospitals, office building, industrial complexes, etc. will we need to accommodate future population growth?
What is the 'engine' that is driving the need for future construction
and raw land development expansion in the United States?
and raw land development expansion in the United States?
The US population is growing!
1) New births
2) Extended life spans
3) Immigration
U.S. CENSUS BUREAU PROJECTIONS:
Year.....Population.....Cume Chg.....Cume % Chg
2000........282Million..............................................
2010........309Million...........+27Mil ................+10%
2020........336Million...........+54Mil ................+19%
2030........364Million...........+82Mil ................+29%
2000........282Million..............................................
2010........309Million...........+27Mil ................+10%
2020........336Million...........+54Mil ................+19%
2030........364Million...........+82Mil ................+29%
Summary: According to the U.S. Census Bureau projections, between 2000-2030, the U.S. population is expected to grow by >82 million new people. (A 29% increase over the next 30 years!)
Today, we are overbuilt for housing in a number of U.S. geographies. However, if the Census Bureau's projections are even close to accurate, we will grow out of this situation in the next 1-2 years nationally.
This means that we must start the raw land development process right now in order to accommodate the housing and community building requirements that will be needed to support the population growth 3-4 years into the future.
Why is that? This is because it takes one to several years to complete a raw land development. Then, it takes another one to several years beyond that to erect the buildings on that land. In other words, we're several years away from any new communities to start springing up if we started them today!
"Therefore, we are literally sitting at 'ground zero' for a construction and land development expansion that, by the year 2030, will dwarf the build-out that followed World War II !"
According to the Brookings Institution study noted above, America's future construction and raw land development needs are as follows:
* By 2030, total new square footage in the US (including residential, commercial, institutional, and industrial square footage combined) will need to increase by 42% to accommodate the projected new population growth. That means adding another 127 BILLION square feet of buildings.
* By 2030, 27% of previously existing square footage will need to be replaced. That means another 82 BILLION square feet of re-development building.
* All told, this amounts to 209 BILLION square feet of total development needed between now and 2030.
* Most of the new square footage will be residential space (79%). That's over 100 BILLION square feet of new homes!
Total projected cost for the "Rebuilding of America"?
The bulk of the $25 Trillion Dollars will be spent developing 10 major metropolitan regions, which the Brookings Institution study calls "Megapolitans". (Depicted in the colored areas on the United States map below.)
10 "MEGAPOLITANS"
1. CASCADIA: Will encompass land from Seattle to Portland. Vast quantities of cheap, prime greenfield surrounding Seattle, Portland, and Eugene give the Northwest megapolitan explosive growth potential. By 2030 the three metro regions will be intertwined.
2. NORCAL: Will encompass land from San Francisco to Sacramento plus the Central Valley. The action is moving east from the Bay Area: The Sacramento metro region will build more housing and office space in the next 25 years than any other Western megapolitan city except Las Vegas.
3. SOUTHLAND: Will encompass land from Los Angeles to San Diego in the south thru the Inland Empire to Las Vegas in the east. Trade with China through the country's largest port, Los Angeles, will fuel a boom in logistics, warehousing, and distribution centers for companies like Target. New military and space programs will do for the Southland what the Internet did for NorCal in the 1990s.
4. VALLEY OF THE SUN: Will encompass land from Phoenix to Tuscon. This is the smallest megapolitan, but the one with the greatest supply of raw, buildable land at the lowest prices--one reason it will soon be the fastest-growing metro region in the country. The big draw: a Palm Springs lifestyle for the masses at a substantial discount.
5. I-35 CORRIDOR: Will encompass land from San Antonio to Dallas to Kansas City. No region better captures and caters to the Latino population boom. A new generation of Hispanic business owners and industrialists will drive the growth, and the area will become a magnet for foreign firms trying to cash in on the U.S. Latino market.
6. GULF COAST BELT: Will encompass land from Houston to New Orleans. Hurricane Katrina will for decades exaggerate a divide at the Texas-Louisiana border between the region's richer western section and the poorer eastern one. Surrounding megapolitans will enjoy spillover growth because of the Gulf Coast Belt's higher risk premium.
7. GREAT LAKES HORSESHOE: Will encompass land from Chicago to Detroit to Pittsburgh. Hit hard by manufacturing's decline, the constellation of Northern industrial cities is morphing into a service-economy region and will draw a flood of immigrants.
8. ATLANTIC SEABOARD: Will encompass land from Boston to New York City to Washington DC. The country's most heavily populated megapolitan braces for another boom. Where will most of the development go? Up: Urban infill will outstrip suburban growth.
9. I-85 CORRIDOR: Will encompass land from Raleigh-Durham to Atlanta. The 410-mile stretch from Atlanta to Raleigh is fast becoming a contiguous strip of McMansions and McDonald's. As textile manufacturing fades, consumer banking in Charlotte, telecom in Atlanta, and high-tech in the Raleigh-Durham Research Triangle drive the growth.
10. SOUTHERN FLORIDA: Will encompass land from Tampa to Miami. The state posted the nation's highest job growth in 2004, as baby boomers from the North poured in to take advantage of the job market and climate. Land scarcity will drive urban growth.
BONUS: UTAH 'MINIPOLITAN': This is my own addition to the $25 Trillion Land Grab markets. Key areas in Utah are experiencing tremendous population and job growth and need to be added to the list.
How You Can Profit From
"The Rebuilding of America"
I strongly encourage you to find a way to participate financially in this extraordinary Raw Land Development Investment Opportunity that is already underway in the Top 10 Megapolitans listed above. The timing is now to take advantage of this lifetime opportunity!
Personally, I have invested with a professional raw land developer who has development projects in some of the megapolitan geographies listed above. And I'll be happy to share that information with you. Just fill out my Contact Info form.
For More Information Visit These Links:
4 Reasons Why Raw Land Development Is A Good Investment
What Is The Best Investment For My Money?
The Raw Land Development Process Step-By-Step
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Raw Land Developments, fill out this form:
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10 Future Growth Markets For Raw Land Development
Why Raw Land Development Is A Good Investment Right Now
10 Future Growth Markets For Raw Land Development
Why Raw Land Development Is A Good Investment Right Now
